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Written by MadAlan
March 1, 2008
The seeds were watered and these are the new growths for 2008; and a
soft group they are. None of this group will hit 30 HRs or drive in 90
teammates. Today’s game has more parity and that adds up to many
teams beginning to play “small-ball” as their offense strategy.
Small-ball incorporates the hit and run more often and that fact will
add SBs to players who have never been known to account for many SBs.
Players with average speed such as Josh Fields, Lance Berkman and Mark
Teixeira to name a few may acquire a dozen SBs this year.
The general reduction in HRs resulting from a strategy change such as
this will also result in one or two players per team enjoying an enormous
jump in power and especially in RBIs. Sounds contradictory to you? The
Bunt and the Hit-and-Run open holes and move players near the scoring
area – Home Plate. They also completely eliminate the opportunity
for the Batter to hit a HR. That leaves one or two players in a scoring
position created for the next two Batters to drive those very same runners
Home.
Expect these twelve players to move their respective careers foreword
two or three notches and become the newer stars for this season:
1) Adam Wainwright St. Louis
2) Chad Billingsley Los Angeles
3) Nick Markakis Baltimore
4) Corey Hart Milwaukee
5) Yovani Gallardo Milwaukee
6) Nick Swisher Chicago AL
7) Jason Bay Pittsburgh
8) Alex Gordon Kansas City
9) Troy Tulowitzki Colorado
10) Matt Kemp Los Angeles
11) Ryan Zimmerman Washington
12) Chris Young Arizona
“….. and now the Rookies
Jacoby Ellsbury
If you watched the Playoffs from last season then you saw this young man.
Enough said. Anticipate a season of .266, 80 Runs 6 HR 36 RBI 45 SB
Kosuke Fukudome
He is no kid; there is a strong reason why he has waited so long to come
here and for a team to want him. Expect Injuries, difficulty with the
language and culture shock collectively making for a poor introduction.
Anticipate a season of .221, 41 Runs 3 HR 36 RBI 14 SB
Josh Hamilton
He owns a similar body to Gabe “Muscle & Hamstring” Kapler
upon his Major League introduction years ago. Muscle & hamstring injuries
held him down last season; for every 500 At-bats he will accumulate 40+
HRs but it will be possible that he will require two seasons to achieve
those 500 ABs. Most NL hitters have initial difficulty with a change of
Leagues because the AL has more Curves and Sliders being used than the
Fastball league that the NL is. Anticipate a season of .269, 53 Runs 27
HR 64 RBI 10 SB
Geovany Soto
The position is so weak many pundits have already ranked this kid in the
Top 10.
Not me. Anticipate a season of .244, 33 Runs 14 HR 54 RBI 3 SB
Evan Longoria
Scouts and scouting reports all claim he is a great prospect; yet bunches
state he is not ready for power numbers yet while others claim his power
is the one sure thing. I don’t think the scouts truly understand
him and that factor alone scares me. Don’t expect Braun-like rookie
production because neither he nor Braun will accomplish those states this
season. Anticipate a season of AAA Baseball with a Call-up during the
season.
Justin Upton
His brother plays for the Tampa Bay team, B.J. Upton. Justin has already
played in a World Series and he isn’t yet ready for Major League
breaking balls. Swing-miss. Depending upon where he hits in the lineup
dictates how many fastballs he will see and that being the case it will
make the difference between a .250 BA and a .280 BA plus he does not have
anything like a Prince Fielder for protection in this lineup. Anticipate
a season of .261, 49 Runs 17 HR 44 RBI 11 SB
Colby Rasmus
Anticipate a season of AAA Baseball with a Call-up during the season while
the Cards have outfield holes to fill. Think about it.
Jay Bruce
With Brandon Phillips controlling 2B and Encarnacion holding down 3B that
only leaves the crowd pleasing Freel to play in the OF. That is where
Bruce would be playing. It is not likely Bruce will play a great deal
in the season beginnings but Freel is a flat tire waiting to happen and
when that does occur Bruce will find his home for the next 10 years. Anticipate
a season of .274, 59 Runs 10 HR 54 RBI 12 SB
Michael Bourn
A more accomplished and exciting player than Willie Taveras. Anticipate
a season of .284, 82 Runs 5 HR 24 RBI 44 SB
Joey Votto
He may never hit .300 again but he certainly will be an adequate source
of power .. he is not fast but he is knowledgeable about running the bases
in a similar manner to how Edgar Martinez was. Anticipate a season of
.255, 64 Runs 27 HR 79 RBI 13 SB
J.R. Towles
Brad Ausmus is still playing in Houston.
Ian Stewart
He will get the start and compile average 2B numbers with a breakout season
next year.
Asdrubal Cabrera
The owner of the 2B position in Cleveland because he hustles and understands
how to use his baseball glove. Otherwise avoid him.
Adam Jones
If you are in a keeper league draft this man. He will supply you with
numbers across the board this season and they will further expand each
season thereafter. Anticipate a season of .266, 57 Runs 19 HR 64 RBI 14
SB
Billy Butler
Here is the next Lance Berkman with the bat; he has a long future as an
AL DH eventually. A natural if ever there was one. Anticipate a season
of .291, 74 Runs 18 HR 94 RBI 7 SB
Cameron Maybin
He is not ready yet but here he is. He will play a graceful OF and run
the bases fast as a rabbit when he gets on-base. He is not that great
a SB threat right now and will be caught somewhat often. Two years from
his monster season; extreme keeper league material.
Jayson Nix
Not ready.
Lastings Milledge
This is his season. This will be yours too if you can get him.
Anticipate a season of .304, 89 Runs 27 HR 104 RBI 31 SB
Daric Barton
WOW, a singles hitting 1B. He may mature into this century’s Harvey
Kuenn.
Andy LaRoche
If you have seen him swing the bat then you know he is a certain star;
he does not generate the power of his older brother in Pittsburgh but
he will contribute the same RBI numbers or better upon his first season
compiling at least 450 ABs. Possibly a future Batting Champion; unlikely
to achieve regular ABs until mid-season.
Buck Coats
Not ready.
Brandon Wood
Now that the Angels have dropped those monster expectations he will achieve
them. Anticipate a season of .272, 59 Runs 22 HR 74 RBI 4 SB
Josh Anderson
Wait until next year.
Ryan Sweeney
The youngest of the three Sweeney’s just might eclipse the achievements
of his older brother with KC. He should start this season; anticipate
a season of .277, 51 Runs 16 HR 62 RBI 4 SB
Carlos Gómez
Lighting fast and understands how to bunt, beat out ground balls and take
the extra base. A big future and it may begin this season in the Twins
lineup. Anticipate a season of .263, 79 Runs 2 HR 22 RBI 41 SB
Wladimir Balentien
Not ready.
David Murphy
Just avoid him.
Steve Pearce
Much depends on who the manager wishes to put in the Pittsburgh outfield
outside of Jason Bay. Pearce has one thing that none of the other candidates
have and that is big time upside. He has far better skills than McLouth
and may be a better glove in right field than Nady. Anticipate a season
of .301, 70 Runs 12 HR 61 RBI 7 SB
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